How to exploit poker nits tendencies folding too often

2 Card Confidence
13 Feb 2025
Intermediate
This material is for medium-skilled players
Strategy

This video breaks down a high-stakes poker hand between Roberto Perez and Linus Loeliger, focusing on how to identify and exploit aggressive players' bluffing tendencies. The analysis covers multiple street decisions, from flop c-betting to river hero calls, explaining the mathematical and strategic reasoning behind each action in a zero-rake game environment.

Most players fold too often in many spots, but fixing this leak requires careful consideration. Instead of calling down lighter, players can profit by exploiting others' over-folding tendencies through aggressive betting, while being cautious against known aggressive opponents.

Strategic Decision Points:

  • Zero rake environment allows for wider opening ranges
  • Small flop bets (25%) make range betting viable
  • Turn overbets (150%) are highly polarized
  • Flush draw betting decisions depend on additional equity and blockers
  • River sizing (2.5x pot) requires careful bluff selection
  • Population tendencies lean toward over-folding
  • Aggressive players can be exploited through hero calls
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