Why you should Overbet 3rd Pair on the Turn

Carrot Corner
03 Feb 2025
Advanced
This material is for experienced players
Strategy

In this strategic poker video, Pete Clarke breaks down a specific turn spot where overbetting with third pair is theoretically sound. He explains the concept using his "three taps" analogy for hybrid betting, combining value, bluff, and denial elements.

Understanding when and why to overbet third pair requires analyzing multiple factors: clean outs, opponent's folding range, and implied odds.

Advanced Turn Play Strategy:

  • GTO Wizard confirms overbetting third pair can be optimal in specific situations
  • Three elements justify the overbet: value, bluff potential, and equity denial
  • Clean outs and implied odds are crucial for third pair overbets
  • Middle-sizing bets (50-75% pot) are often worse than overbets or small bets
  • Position and board texture heavily influence the strategy
  • Opponent's range composition determines river playability
  • Post-overbet river strategy requires careful consideration
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