Why Playing ‘Crazy’ Might Be Safer Than You Think

Hungry Horse. Play to Succeed
30 Dec 2024
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This material is for experienced players
Strategy

The video explores whether playing an aggressive, high-variance style requires a bigger bankroll than playing safe. Through mathematical analysis and real player data, it demonstrates that higher win rates from aggressive play can actually offset increased variance, leading to similar bankroll requirements.

Data shows that aggressive players with higher win rates don't necessarily need bigger bankrolls, as increased profits can offset the higher variance in their game.

Real-World Statistics and Findings:

  • High-variance players showed 114.15 standard deviation per hour
  • Post-bootcamp players achieved 13BB/hour win rate
  • Maximum downswings were similar between aggressive and safe players
  • Live poker showed higher variance than online due to bigger bet sizing
  • Higher win rates can offset increased variance in bankroll requirements
  • Aggressive play style resulted in better long-term profitability
  • Risk of ruin decreases significantly as bankroll grows over time
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