Should You Do This At Low & Mid Stakes

2 Card Confidence
05 Apr 2025
Intermediate
This material is for medium-skilled players
Strategy

This video examines whether high-stakes GTO poker strategies can be effectively applied at low and mid-stakes. Alexander breaks down a hand played by Linus Loeliger (king-six suited), comparing GTO recommendations to actual population tendencies at lower stakes. The analysis focuses on pre-flop three-betting, turn barrels, and river bluffs, with practical advice on how to adjust optimally.

The main finding is that while some high-stakes GTO plays don't translate well to lower stakes, understanding population tendencies can help you make profitable adjustments. Lower-stakes players tend to overfold against turn and river barrels, making certain bluffs more profitable than GTO suggests.

Profitable Exploits at Low Stakes:

  • Big blinds at low/mid stakes should three-bet less polarized and more depolarized than GTO suggests
  • Population heavily overfolds against turn barrels, especially when overcards hit
  • River bluffs become extremely profitable (+11BB) when accounting for population's overfolding tendencies
  • Pure king-high hands without additional equity are still not good turn barrel candidates
  • Pre-flop strategy should be adjusted based on opponents' calling and 4-betting frequencies
  • Player-specific information always trumps general population tendencies
  • The video promotes Alexander's "GTO2Exploit" program for more data-driven exploitative strategies
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